Virginie Guemas (Climate forecasting Unit, IC3): "Attribution of the 2001-2010 global temperature plateau"

12:00 Meeting Room, IC3
C/ Doctor Trueta, 203
08005 Barcelona

The global mean temperature underwent a plateau during the last decade in spite of the steady increase in the greenhouse gas concentration. This apparent discrepancy let to a debate and to the suggestion of various hypotheses to explain such a warming slowdown involving the stratospheric and tropospheric aerosols, the water vapour, the solar cycle or the ocean heat uptake. Climate predictions produced with EC-Earth capture such a plateau a few years ahead, which stands as an opportunity to investigate its causes.